Trump takes 1-point lead over Harris in Pennsylvania survey

Date: 2024-10-30

Former President Trump is ahead of Vice President Harris by 1 point in Pennsylvania in a new survey from Quinnipiac University.

The survey found Trump garnering 47 percent support from likely voters to Harris’s 46 percent support. Two percent said they were backing the Green Party’s Jill Stein, and 1 percent said they were backing the Libertarian Party’s Chase Oliver.

Pennsylvania is an important swing state that Harris or Trump may need to win to capture the White House next week. Trump is barely ahead of Harris in the Keystone State in an average of polls from The Hill/Decision Desk HQ, up only 0.6 points.

Trump made a campaign stop in Allentown, Pa., on Tuesday evening for a rally, while Harris held a rally in Washington, D.C., on the Ellipse on the same night. The vice president also visited Keystone State over the weekend.

Other findings in the survey included more likely voters backing incumbent Sen. Bob Casey (D-Penn.) over his Republican rival, Dave McCormick. Fifty percent of the likely voters backed Casey, while McCormick garnered 47 percent.

Beyond the presidential race, Casey and McCormick’s race is notable because it could possibly determine which party controls the Senate next year. Democrats are hoping to hold on to the upper chamber, while Republicans want to take it back.

The Quinnipiac survey took place between Oct. 24 and 28, featuring 2,186 likely voters and a plus or minus 2.1 percentage point margin of error.

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