Harris has narrow lead over Trump in new national survey

Date: 2024-10-31

Vice President Harris has a 1-point lead over former President Trump in a new national survey released days before Election Day.

Harris leads Trump 47 percent to 46 percent among registered voters in The Economist/YouGov survey, which was conducted Oct. 26-29.

One percent backed the Green Party’s Jill Stein, 3 percent said they were “not sure” about the presidential candidate they support and another 1 percent said they “did” or “would not vote.”

The survey was conducted both before and after Trump's Madison Square Garden rally, which prompted significant backlash over a comedian's remark on stage about Puerto Rico.

Trump and Harris have remained locked in a tight race nationally, with Harris ahead by 0.5 percent in a polling index from The Hill and Decision Desk HQ.

Harris was viewed more favorably than Trump among respondents, 48 percent compared to 44 percent, while 54 percent had an unfavorable view of Trump and 48 percent had an unfavorable view of Harris.

When it came to the two candidates’ running mates, 41 percent said their opinion of both Minnesota Gov. Tim Walz (D) and Ohio Sen. JD Vance (R) is favorable while 43 percent had an unfavorable view of Walz and 45 percent had an unfavorable view of Vance.

Harris and Trump are racing to secure the votes of undecided Americans in the seven battleground states that will decide who will clinch the White House: Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin, North Carolina, Georgia, Arizona and Nevada.

However, the two nominees recently campaigned outside the swing states, with Trump rallying supporters at Madison Square Garden in New York City and Harris speaking at the Ellipse near the White House in Washington.

The Economist/YouGov poll featured 1,587 people and 1,446 registered voters, with an overall margin of error of 3.6 percentage points and 3.4 points for registered voters.

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