Harris, Trump neck and neck in new Michigan survey

Date: 2024-10-31

Voters are almost evenly split between Vice President Harris and former President Trump in the battleground state of Michigan according to a Thursday poll from the Washington Post. 

Results show either candidate could pick up the Great Lake State with Harris up 1 point among likely voters with 47 percent of support compared to 46 percent of people supporting the former president.  

Trump is up by 2 points among registered voters, 47 percent to the vice president’s 45 percent. 

The survey showed that a third of respondents have already voted. 

Sixty-five percent of voters surveyed said they would certainly vote in the election while 2 percent said they would probably vote. One percent said it was 50-50 chance while 1 percent said less than that. Another 1 percent said they did not think they would vote

Trump led Harris in terms of favorability with 46 percent of voters finding him more favorable than Harris, who got 45 percent in the category. Meanwhile, 48 percent of voters found the former president unfavorable while 47 percent said the same about Harris.

The vice president polled well with registered voters on her ability to help middle class workers, earning 47 percent of support compared to Trump’s 46 percent of support. On the topic of healthcare, 46 percent of voters favored Harris's leadership compared to 40 percent who preferred the former president.

Trump led on issues pertaining to the economy, 49 percent to Harris’s 42 percent, immigration, 51 percent to her 38 percent and taxes with 47 percent support compared to 43 percent who favored the vice president. 

The Post also surveyed voters about the state's Senate candidates. Democrat Rep. Elissa Slotkin outpaced Republican nominee Mike Rogers among likely voters, 48 percent to his 45 percent and registered voters, 46 percent to his 45 percent. 

The razor-thin race's outcome will help determine which party will gain control of the Senate. Michigan voters said they would prefer the GOP to rule Congress’s upper house in the poll. 

The poll was conducted from Oct. 24 to Oct. 28 with 1,004 registered voters in Michigan through phone interviews and text messages. The margin of error is plus or minus 3.7 percentage points for both registered and likely voters.

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